EMPLOYING MARKOV MODELS TO FORECAST THE END STRENGTH OF THE US NAVY SUPPLY CORPS’ FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT (3111) COMMUNITY

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dc.contributor.advisorSeagren, Chad W.
dc.contributor.authorJacobs, Brett R.
dc.contributor.authorCurtis, Michael A.
dc.contributor.authorKing, Dartanyon R.
dc.contributor.departmentDepartment of Defense Management (DDM)
dc.contributor.departmentDepartment of Defense Management (DDM)
dc.contributor.departmentDepartment of Defense Management (DDM)
dc.contributor.secondreaderDoerr, Kenneth H.
dc.date.accessioned2022-09-20T20:51:19Z
dc.date.available2022-09-20T20:51:19Z
dc.date.issued2022-06
dc.description.abstractThe Navy Supply Corps has a wide array of Subspecialties (SSP) and Additional Qualification Designations (AQD) that define an officer’s skillset/experience and billet requirements. Current planning by the Supply Corps’ Office of Personnel (OP) assumes identical retention rates across all SSP/AQD combinations. This strategy may lead to unanticipated effects when changes to policy occur. Our research applies the Markov model to manpower data obtained from OP to analyze the current and forecasted end strength of the Supply Corps’ Financial Management (FM) community. This research addresses the following questions: 1) What are the forecasted end strengths for Navy Supply Corps Officers with FM experience and qualifications? 2) Does the FM community’s current billet structure create enough FM officers to achieve OP’s inventory goal of 2.5 times the number of qualified FM officers per FM billet at the O5-O6 level? We find that if the Supply Corps’ FM community continues along its current manpower trajectory, OP will likely never achieve its inventory goal for the community. However, our models provide multiple ways through which OP can achieve its O5-O6 inventory goals over time.en_US
dc.description.distributionstatementApproved for public release. Distribution is unlimited.en_US
dc.description.serviceLieutenant Commander, United States Navyen_US
dc.description.serviceLieutenant Commander, United States Navyen_US
dc.description.serviceLieutenant Commander, United States Navyen_US
dc.identifier.curriculumcode837, Financial Management
dc.identifier.curriculumcode837, Financial Management
dc.identifier.curriculumcode837, Financial Management
dc.identifier.thesisid36856
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10945/70695
dc.publisherMonterey, CA; Naval Postgraduate Schoolen_US
dc.rightsThis publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.en_US
dc.subject.authorSupply Corpsen_US
dc.subject.authorNavyen_US
dc.subject.authorfinancial managementen_US
dc.subject.authormanpoweren_US
dc.subject.authorbusiness financial managementen_US
dc.subject.author837en_US
dc.subject.authorBFMen_US
dc.subject.authorAQDen_US
dc.subject.authorAdditional Qualification Designationen_US
dc.subject.authorSSPen_US
dc.subject.authorsub-specialty codeen_US
dc.subject.author3100en_US
dc.subject.authorMarkoven_US
dc.titleEMPLOYING MARKOV MODELS TO FORECAST THE END STRENGTH OF THE US NAVY SUPPLY CORPS’ FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT (3111) COMMUNITYen_US
dc.typeThesisen_US
dspace.entity.typePublication
etd.thesisdegree.disciplineMaster of Business Administrationen_US
etd.thesisdegree.disciplineMaster of Business Administrationen_US
etd.thesisdegree.disciplineMaster of Business Administrationen_US
etd.thesisdegree.grantorNaval Postgraduate Schoolen_US
etd.thesisdegree.levelMastersen_US
etd.thesisdegree.levelMastersen_US
etd.thesisdegree.levelMastersen_US
etd.thesisdegree.nameMaster of Business Administrationen_US
etd.thesisdegree.nameMaster of Business Administrationen_US
etd.thesisdegree.nameMaster of Business Administrationen_US
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