Game Theory and Prescriptive Analytics for Naval Wargaming Battle Management Aids
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Authors
Johnson, Bonnie W.
Green, John M.
Miller, Scot A.
Godin, Arkady A.
Subjects
game theory
prescriptive analytics
wargaming
battle management aids
decisionmaking
artificial intelligence
data analytics
tactical warfare
operational planning
courses of action
predictive analytics
prescriptive analytics
wargaming
battle management aids
decisionmaking
artificial intelligence
data analytics
tactical warfare
operational planning
courses of action
predictive analytics
Advisors
Date of Issue
2022-10
Date
Publisher
Monterey, California: Naval Postgraduate School
Language
Abstract
To achieve and maintain decision and mission superiority, the Navy has prioritized research in computational technologies and data analytic methods for automating and improving battle management and decision-making. This project studied novel automated techniques using a multidisciplinary systems analysis approach and developed conceptual designs for automated wargaming systems to support tactical decisions and operational planning. The research approach revealed three different applications for automated wargaming: (1) to support table-top wargames as an automated white cell for adjudication or as a red team cognitive agent, (2) to support operational mission planners as a non-real-time course of action (COA) engine, and (3) to support the tactical warfighter as a real-time COA engine that considers second, third, and nth order effects as it evaluates and recommends possible tactical COAs. The study found that automated wargaming battle management systems (leveraging game theory, prescriptive analytics, predictive analytics, artificial intelligence, etc.) are needed to support enhanced situational awareness, reasoning, and problem-solving; faster decision timelines; and the identification and evaluation of tactical and operational COAs. The study recommends further research into the use of automated wargaming systems, the emerging field of course of action engineering, and the applications of these novel techniques to support table-top wargaming, operational planning, and tactical decision-making.
Type
Poster
Description
NPS NRP Project Poster
Series/Report No
Department
Organization
Identifiers
NPS Report Number
Sponsors
N2/N6 - Information Warfare
Funder
This research is supported by funding from the Naval Postgraduate School, Naval Research Program (PE 0605853N/2098).
Format
Citation
Distribution Statement
Approved for public release. Distribution is unlimited.
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.