Sensitivity analysis of a cognitive architecture for the cultural geography model
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Authors
Lee, Kah Hock
Subjects
Cultural Geography
Stability Operations
Irregular Warfare (IW)
Agent-Based Modeling (ABM)
Discrete Event Simulation (DES)
Theory of Planned Behavior (TPB)
Cognitive Architecture
Design of Experiments (DOE)
Nearly Orthogonal Latin Hypercube (NOLH)
Simulation Analysis
Stability Operations
Irregular Warfare (IW)
Agent-Based Modeling (ABM)
Discrete Event Simulation (DES)
Theory of Planned Behavior (TPB)
Cognitive Architecture
Design of Experiments (DOE)
Nearly Orthogonal Latin Hypercube (NOLH)
Simulation Analysis
Advisors
Appleget, Jeffrey A.
Darken, Christian J.
Date of Issue
2011-12
Date
December 2011
Publisher
Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School
Language
Abstract
The success of Irregular Warfare (IW) and Counterinsurgency Operations depends on the ability to influence the civilian population based on an understanding of their social and cultural backgrounds. The Cultural Geography (CG) model was developed by TRADOC Analysis Center - Monterey, to provide military commanders with a means to evaluate the impact of IW tactical operations on the civilian population. A prototype Cognitive Architecture module was added to improve the representation of human cognition for determining the population's behavioral responses. This thesis conducted a thorough sensitivity analysis on the Cognitive Architecture module in the CG model, using experimental design and statistical data analysis techniques, to obtain an assessment of its impact on the civilian population responses, in terms of their stances on key IW issues of concern. Significant single and pairwise interaction factors in the Cognitive Architecture that contribute to the civilians' issue stances were identified. The analysis revealed demographic stereotypes of population groups notably affected by the Cognitive Architecture. The results will help to streamline data collection efforts, and provide a useful methodology and dataset, to support verification and validation of the Cognitive Architecture. Future research will adapt the Cognitive Architecture across different scenarios, as it evolves with more features.
Type
Description
Series/Report No
Department
Operations Research (OR)
Organization
Identifiers
NPS Report Number
Sponsors
Funder
Format
xx, 129 p.
28 cm.
28 cm.
Citation
Distribution Statement
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.