Publication:
The Exponential Expansion of Simulation How Simulation has Grown as a Research Tool

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Authors
Powers, Matthew J.
Subjects
Simulation
Data analysis
Design of Experiment
Simulation History
Advisors
Sanchez, Susan M.
Date of Issue
2012-09
Date
Sep-12
Publisher
Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School
Language
Abstract
Simulation has overcome critical obstacles to become a valuable method for obtaining insights about the behavior of complex systems. George Boxs famous assessment that all models are wrong, some are useful referred to statistical models, but should now be reimagined to reflect that many simulation models are right enough to aid in decision making for important practical problems. Over the past fifty years, simulation has transformed from its beginnings as a brute-force numerical integration method into an attractive and sophisticated option for decision makers. This is due, in part, to the exponential growth of computing power. Although other analytic approaches also benefit from this trend, keyword searches of several scholarly search engines reveal that the reliance on simulation is increasing more rapidly. A descriptive analysis paints a compelling picture simulation is frequently a researchers preferred method for supporting decision makers and may often be the first resort for complex real world issues.
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Thesis
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Department
Operations Research
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Distribution Statement
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
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