Marine thirty-year plan

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Authors
Enholm, Jacob C.
Subjects
Manpower planning
Personnel
Optimization
MArine Corps enlisted strength
Manpower attrition
Advisors
Wood, R. Kevin
Buttrey, Samuel E.
Date of Issue
2002-03
Date
March 2002
Publisher
Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School
Language
Abstract
The U.S. Marine Corps is in need of a unified enlisted manpower model to guide the recruiting, training, promoting and discharging of an enlisted force of over 153,000 Marines. This thesis develops a set of linear programs (LPs) for this purpose. Each LP optimizes the estimated manpower structure within an occupational field by varying the number of recruits, promotions, and lateral moves over a 30-year time horizon, at a yearly level of detail. The goal is to meet annual force-level targets specified by Headquarters Marine Corps for cohorts defined by occupational specialty, and rank. Estimated attrition rates are key inputs; these are based on Kaplan-Meier estimators for "survival probabilities" computed from Marine Corps data covering 1990-2000. Current force strength data, also required by the LPs, is derived from the Marine Corps database. Average LP solving time is less than thirty minutes on a Pentium IV 2 Ghz personal computer, using the GAMS modeling system and the CPLEX LP solver.
Type
Thesis
Description
Series/Report No
Department
Operations Research (OR)
Organization
Identifiers
NPS Report Number
Sponsors
Funder
Format
xviii, 100 p. : ill. ;
Citation
Distribution Statement
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.
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