Quantifying Sensible Weather Forecast Variability

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Nuss_Quantifying_Sensible_Weather_Forecast_Variability_2009-09.pdf (19.52 KB)
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Nuss, Wendell A.
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2009-09
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Abstract
Sensible weather occurs on small scales and the development and evolution of these small scale features depends strongly on the larger scale environment. Synoptic scale variability is represented by the individual members in a well-designed ensemble modeling system. The objective of this research is to quantify the local scale variations in sensible weather elements, like fog, due to larger scale variability. The sensitivity of selected weather elements to synoptic scale background variance will be quantified to identify when local scale predictability may be high or low.
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https://hdl.handle.net/10945/68967
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Naval Postgraduate School (U.S.)
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This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.
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