A cohort model for predicting retention of regular Marine Corps officers
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Authors
McAfee, Carlos Kay
Subjects
Marine Corps officers
Manpower
Personnel
Prediction
Markov chains
Cohort models
Manpower
Personnel
Prediction
Markov chains
Cohort models
Advisors
Marshall, Kneale T.
Date of Issue
1970-04
Date
April 1970
Publisher
Monterey, California ; Naval Postgraduate School
Language
en_US
Abstract
A model for predicting retention of regular Marine Corps officers is formulated. Using data from the three cohorts 1956 - 58, a statistical test is used to show that the lifetimes on active duty of members of each cohort follow the same distribution. Unknown parameters for this distribution are estimated from the data. Retention figures for various lengths of service of the cohorts 1959 - 63 are calculated with the
model and compared with actual data. Confidence intervals for the predictions are given. Use of the model and follow-on studies are suggested and examples given.
Type
Thesis
Description
Series/Report No
Department
Operations Analysis
Organization
Naval Postgraduate School (U.S.)
Identifiers
NPS Report Number
Sponsors
Funder
Format
Citation
Distribution Statement
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.