Publication:
Analysis of analytic models for the effect of Insurgency/Counterinsurgency Operations on the general population

dc.contributor.advisorJacobs, Patricia
dc.contributor.advisorZhou, Hong
dc.contributor.authorDamalas, Kimberly A.
dc.contributor.corporateNaval Postgraduate School (U.S.)
dc.contributor.departmentOperations Research
dc.contributor.departmentApplied Mathematics
dc.contributor.secondreaderKress, Moshe
dc.date.accessioned2012-03-14T17:40:18Z
dc.date.available2012-03-14T17:40:18Z
dc.date.issued2008-06
dc.description.abstractThis thesis proposes and analyzes mathematical descriptive models of the effect of Insurgency/Counterinsurgency Operations on the population of a nation experiencing stability operations. The model is a system of differential equations representing insurgent activity, insurgent recruiting, insurgent removal by the coalition; the population's tolerance for insurgent violence; occurrence of actions by the coalition and insurgency the population perceives as beneficial and damaging, and the resulting change in the population's support for the government. The study focuses on a single population, attempting to identify and model the first order effects of stability force actions on the population. We represent and study the effect of possible strategies by local government and external stability forces to influence popular support toward the government. We find the greatest increase in popular support occurs when the coalition concentrates on performing actions perceived by the population as beneficial and mitigating the effects of its damaging actions. When the population does not perceive insurgent actions as damaging, we find the coalition has difficulty increasing popular support for the government. Coalition cooperation with local leaders in planning and executing beneficial actions may increase the perceived effect of coalition actions the population perceives as beneficial.en_US
dc.description.serviceUS Air Force (USAF) author.en_US
dc.description.urihttp://archive.org/details/analysisofnalyti109454076
dc.format.extentxvi, 65 p.en_US
dc.identifier.oclc244636810
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10945/4076
dc.publisherMonterey, California. Naval Postgraduate Schoolen_US
dc.rightsThis publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.en_US
dc.subject.lcshInsurgencyen_US
dc.subject.lcshCounterinsurgencyen_US
dc.subject.lcshPsychological aspectsen_US
dc.titleAnalysis of analytic models for the effect of Insurgency/Counterinsurgency Operations on the general populationen_US
dc.typeThesisen_US
dspace.entity.typePublication
etd.thesisdegree.disciplineOperation Researchen_US
etd.thesisdegree.disciplineApplied Mathematicsen_US
etd.thesisdegree.grantorNaval Postgraduate Schoolen_US
etd.thesisdegree.levelMastersen_US
etd.thesisdegree.nameM.S.en_US
etd.verifiednoen_US
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