Employment of indications and warning methods to forecast potentially hostile revolutions in military affairs
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Authors
Morgan, Brent A.
Subjects
Advisors
Garcia, Vicente
Bloch, Paul S.
Date of Issue
1995-09
Date
September 1995
Publisher
Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School
Language
en_US
Abstract
The basic premise of a Revolution in Military Affairs is that changes in technology doctrine, and organization have the ability to render existing methods of warfare obsolete. Two distinct visions of a future RMA are beginning to emerge within the defense community. The first involves the integration of precision guided munitions, and superior command, control, communications, computers, and intelligence (C4I) capabilities. The second vision is of information warfare. In this arena, the control and management of bits and bytes becomes more important than bullets. Because of the potential advantages gained from the realization of an RMA, it is imperative that the United States detects, and accurately evaluates, any efforts by a potential adversary to achieve a RMA - whatever form it may take. Indications and Warning (I & W) intelligence is a process used by the intelligence community to detect indicators of potential threats while sufficient time exists to counter those same threats. This thesis examines 'how' and 'why' technology, doctrine, and organizations change in order to develop indicators that can be used to detect an emerging RMA.
Type
Thesis
Description
Series/Report No
Department
Systems Technology (Scientific and Technical Intelligence)
Organization
Identifiers
NPS Report Number
Sponsors
Funder
NA
Format
127 p.
Citation
Distribution Statement
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.