Multiparameter forecasting techniques for the Marine Corps officer rate generator
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Authors
Mehalic, Charles J.
Subjects
Forecast
Attrition Estimation
Harrison
Winters
Bayesian
Seasonality
Expotential smoothing
Shrinkage
Aggregation
Attrition Estimation
Harrison
Winters
Bayesian
Seasonality
Expotential smoothing
Shrinkage
Aggregation
Advisors
Read, Robert R.
Date of Issue
1990
Date
Publisher
Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School
Language
en_US
Abstract
This thesis expands upon previous work in applying aggregation and shrinkage techniques to Marine Corps officer attrition rate estimators. Attrition includes those leaving the service through retirement, resignation, discharge, disability or similar reasons. The Navy Personnel Research and Development Center (NPRDC), San Diego, California, recently terminated efforts in forecasting attrition through the Marine Corps Officer Rate Projector (MCORP) . Decision Systems Associates, Inc. (DSAI), of Rockville, Maryland, has been granted the contract for future implementation of their forecasting Officer Rate Generator (ORG). Accurate forecasting of officer losses is extremely important to the manpower planner.
Type
Thesis
Description
Series/Report No
Department
Operations Research (OR)
Organization
Naval Postgraduate School (U.S.)
Identifiers
NPS Report Number
Sponsors
Funder
Format
vii, 103 p.
Citation
Distribution Statement
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.