Iran’s Evolving Ballistic Missile Doctrine: From Deterrence to Anti-Access/Area- Denial Strategies & Capabilities
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Authors
Center on Contemporary Conflict
Elleman, Michael
Subjects
Advisors
Date of Issue
2015-05
Date
Publisher
Monterey, California: Naval Postgraduate School
Language
en_US
Abstract
Objective: Iran is seeking to improve the accuracy of its missiles and is pursuing related
technologies. Though it is unlikely that Iran will achieve the pinpoint accuracy and
increased range it seeks, it is reasonable to assume that engineers will significantly
improve the accuracy of Iran’s short-range rockets and missiles. These capabilities
could be used for political purposes by waging a campaign of fear on regional
rivals. This study will estimate the accuracy of current Iranian missiles, forecast the
accuracy of future systems, and assess the potential impacts of such improvements
on Iran’s current anti-access/area-denial strategy. Identified findings can then be
shared with regional partners to help create a common operating picture for the
Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC). In addition, the project could help facilitate a
harmonization of military-defense requirements, strategic policies, and
procurement priorities across the GCC.
Type
Report
Description
Performer: International Institute for
Strategic Studies
Project Lead: Michael Elleman
Project Cost: $77,000
FY15-16
Series/Report No
Department
Organization
Identifiers
NPS Report Number
Sponsors
PASCC