A Methodology for Evaluating Decisions in the Navy’s Program Objective Memorandum (POM) Process
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Authors
Kress, Moshe
Subjects
Program Objective Memorandum (POM)
Multiple Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA)
Pairwise Comparison Hierarchy
Multiple Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA)
Pairwise Comparison Hierarchy
Advisors
Date of Issue
2023-12
Date
December 2023
Publisher
Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School
Language
Abstract
Some government and corporate decisions are hierarchical, where the hierarchy is two-fold: a hierarchy of alternatives and a corresponding hierarchy of decision- makers. An example of such a hierarchical decision process is the US Department of Defense (DoD) Program Objective Memorandum (POM), which sets development and acquisition plans within a given budget. At the top level of the hierarchy senior leaders set directions for those acquisition and development plans, directions that can be viewed as or translated into families of programs. Programs comprise projects that are the eventual fundable entities. Although “hierarchy” is a core feature in this decision-making setup, it does not comply with the well-known Analytic Hierarchy Process where decision alternatives are at the bottom level of a hierarchy that also includes goals and criteria. In this paper we propose a modeling framework of a different type where the hierarchy only comprises alternatives; the criteria, which may be alternatives-dependent, are “orthogonal” to the levels of the hierarchy. We develop a methodology for handling such a decision setup and demonstrate its application in reference to the POM. The Multi-Criteria Analysis part of the methodology hinges on the widely used concept of Least-Squares.
Type
Technical Report
Description
NPS NRP Technical Report
Series/Report No
Department
Operations Research (OR)
Organization
Identifiers
NPS Report Number
NPS-OR-23-011
Sponsors
Naval Postgraduate School, Naval Research Program OPNAV N8 – Integration of Capabilities and Resources
Funder
"This research is supported by funding from the Naval Postgraduate School, Naval Research Program (PE 0605853N/2098). https://nps.edu/nrp
Chief of Naval Operations (CNO)
Chief of Naval Operations (CNO)
Format
30 p.
Citation
Distribution Statement
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.