Sensitivity analysis of the modern naval combat model
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Authors
Lalis, Aristomenis P.
Subjects
Modern naval combat model
Sensitivity
Scouting effectiveness
Alertness
Ratio of remaining staying power
Fractional exchange ratio
Battle trace
Sensitivity
Scouting effectiveness
Alertness
Ratio of remaining staying power
Fractional exchange ratio
Battle trace
Advisors
Weir, Maurice D.
Hughes, Wayne P. Jr.
Date of Issue
1991-09
Date
September 1991
Publisher
Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School
Language
en_US
Abstract
This thesis describes, extends and explores the validity of Hatzopoulos Naval Combat Model of modern surface warship missile engagements. An extensive sensitivity analysis is conducted to determine how the model's output is affected by changes in force alertness and scouting effectiveness. The approach taken is to analyze the sensitivity of combat (missile exchange) results first through the use of ratios, and second by examining partial derivatives. Two ratios are developed. The first is a ratio of remaining staying power after the exchange of salvos. The second is a fractional exchange ratio, which compares the fraction of combat power remaining on the two sides after an exchange. The robustness of the fractional exchange ratio as an indicator of success in naval salvo warfare was demonstrated.
Type
Thesis
Description
Series/Report No
Department
Department of Operations Research
Organization
Naval Postgraduate School
Identifiers
NPS Report Number
Sponsors
Funding
Format
116 p.: folded pages
Citation
Distribution Statement
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
Rights
Copyright is reserved by the copyright owner