Determining Operational Hit Probabilities for Field Artillery Weapons Systems
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Authors
Boes, Richard William
Garvey, Richard E.
Subjects
Advisors
Barr, Donald R.
Date of Issue
1968-06
Date
Publisher
Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School
Language
en_US
Abstract
The Department of the Army has expressed a need for the determination
of the operational hit probabilities of several weapons systems in
use throughout the Army. These hit probabilities, together with lethality
models, should yield predictions of the effects such systems will
have under various conditions of combat. In this thesis, operational hit probability (OHP) is defined as the
probability that the center of impact of a volley of artillery fire will
fall within a specified distance of the center of an area target. A
general experimental methodology, which could be used to estimate OHP's
(under simulated combat conditions) for a field artillery weapons system,
is presented. More specifically, an approximate Chi-square distribution
of squared radial miss distance is suggested for estimating OHP's. A
method of using accuracy data from Army Training Tests to estimate required sample sizes for the experiment is proposed.
Type
Thesis
Description
Series/Report No
Department
Operations Research
Organization
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NPS Report Number
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Distribution Statement
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.