Publication:
A demand forecasting model for a naval aviation intermediate level inventory -- the Shorebased Consolidated Allowance List (SHORCAL), Yokosuka, Japan

dc.contributor.advisorFields, Paul J.
dc.contributor.advisorMoore, Thomas P.
dc.contributor.authorOnders, Randal J.
dc.contributor.corporateNaval Postgraduate School (U.S.)
dc.dateDecember 1994
dc.date.accessioned2014-08-13T20:26:48Z
dc.date.available2014-08-13T20:26:48Z
dc.date.issued1994-12
dc.description.abstractRecent initiatives associated with the military force drawdown and declining Department of Defense budget mandate reducing military investment in spare parts inventories while maintaining force readiness. It is therefore important in the present environment to improve demand forecasting accuracy in order to meet supply performance goals. This thesis examines a naval aviation intermediate level inventory, the Shorebased Consolidated Allowance List, Yokosuka, Japan. The primary focus is to develop an alternate demand forecasting model for the Yokosuka SHORCAL. The present forecasting model averages demand for an item over a twelve month period to determine its forecast. The alternate model consists of two sections. The first section is a causal model for forecasting demand originating from aircraft carriers. Flying hours and carrier deployment are used as independent variables. The second section uses a time-series and a marginal value method to forecast causal residuals and non-carrier demand. The two sections are then combined into a final forecast for an item. Demand history for seven Aviation Depot Level. Repairables is used to develop the mode. The alternate model demonstrates improved forecast accuracy, measured as reduced forecast error, when compared to the present model.en_US
dc.description.distributionstatementApproved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
dc.description.serviceU.S. Navy (USN) authoren_US
dc.description.urihttp://archive.org/details/ademandforecasti1094542848
dc.format.extent98 p.en_US
dc.identifier.oclcocn640633027
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10945/42848
dc.language.isoen_US
dc.publisherMonterey, California. Naval Postgraduate Schoolen_US
dc.rightsThis publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.en_US
dc.subject.authorNAen_US
dc.titleA demand forecasting model for a naval aviation intermediate level inventory -- the Shorebased Consolidated Allowance List (SHORCAL), Yokosuka, Japanen_US
dc.typeThesisen_US
dspace.entity.typePublication
etd.thesisdegree.disciplineManagementen_US
etd.thesisdegree.grantorNaval Postgraduate Schoolen_US
etd.thesisdegree.levelMastersen_US
etd.thesisdegree.nameM.S. in Managementen_US
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