Prediction of Tropical Cyclone Formation in the Western Pacific Using Operational Global Models
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Authors
Bower, Caroline
Harr, Patrick
Elsberry, Russell
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Date of Issue
2004
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Abstract
Recent increases in the skill of tropical
cyclone track predictions have been attributed to
increased accuracy of guidance from operational
global models. As this skill increases, dynamical
prediction has been extended into the medium
ranges, and five-day track predictions are becoming
more feasible. However, as a tropical cyclone can
form, intensify, and move over long distances in that
time, the need for accurate numerical representation
of tropical cyclone formation becomes significant.
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Article
Description
1C.2
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Department
Meteorology
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Sponsors
This research is sponsored by the Office of Naval Research, and the Space and Naval Warfare Systems Center (SPAWAR).
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This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.