EFFECTS OF EXTENDED-RANGE FORECASTING IN AUTOMATED SHIP ROUTING

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dc.contributor.advisorSanchez, Susan M.
dc.contributor.advisorRegnier, Eva
dc.contributor.authorMiller, Joshua
dc.contributor.departmentOperations Research (OR)
dc.contributor.secondreaderKline, Jeffrey E.
dc.date.accessioned2023-08-17T23:09:09Z
dc.date.available2023-08-17T23:09:09Z
dc.date.issued2023-06
dc.description.abstractDevelopment of the Navy Earth System Prediction Capability (ESPC) has improved the accuracy of extended-range environmental forecasting. However, the effects of using this capability in ship routing are not known. The Naval Research Laboratory (NRL) has developed a tool, the Tool for Multi-objective PLanning and Asset Routing (TMPLAR), to optimize ship routes while considering objectives including time, fuel costs, and environmental conditions. This thesis reports a simulation experiment using recent ESPC forecasts and forecasts from a legacy forecasting system in TMPLAR. ESPC impact on ship routes and their fuel consumption, overall transit times, and exposure to waves is explored. Our findings are inconclusive regarding ESPC performance against the legacy and climatology forecasting systems. However, large-scale simulation has drastically improved TMPLAR robustness and provided useful insight into overall TMPLAR behavior at a significantly reduced cost relative to any real-world experiment.en_US
dc.description.distributionstatementApproved for public release. Distribution is unlimited.en_US
dc.description.serviceCaptain, United States Marine Corpsen_US
dc.identifier.curriculumcode360, Operations Analysis
dc.identifier.thesisid39229
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10945/72227
dc.publisherMonterey, CA; Naval Postgraduate Schoolen_US
dc.rightsThis publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.en_US
dc.subject.authorTool for Multi-objective Planning and Asset Routingen_US
dc.subject.authorTMPLARen_US
dc.subject.authorNavy Earth System Prediction Capabilityen_US
dc.subject.authorESPCen_US
dc.subject.authorOptimum Track Ship Routingen_US
dc.subject.authorOTSRen_US
dc.subject.authorextended-range forecastingen_US
dc.subject.authorautomated ship routingen_US
dc.titleEFFECTS OF EXTENDED-RANGE FORECASTING IN AUTOMATED SHIP ROUTINGen_US
dc.typeThesisen_US
dspace.entity.typePublication
etd.thesisdegree.disciplineOperations Researchen_US
etd.thesisdegree.grantorNaval Postgraduate Schoolen_US
etd.thesisdegree.levelMastersen_US
etd.thesisdegree.nameMaster of Science in Operations Researchen_US
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