Analysis of promotion rates to lieutenant colonel and selection for command for USMC Aviation Supply and Maintenance Officers

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Authors
Gonzalez, Michael D.
Subjects
USMC
officer
promotions
lieutenant colonel
MOS 6602
MOS 6002
AVNSUPO
AMO
Command Screening Program
logistic regression;
Advisors
Seagren, Chad W.
Date of Issue
2011-12
Date
December 2011
Publisher
Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School
Language
Abstract
The purpose of this thesis was to identify those statistically significant variables associated with promotion to lieutenant colonel and selection for command of a Marine Aviation Logistics Squadron (MALS) or Center for Naval Aviation Technical Training Marine Unit for Aviation Maintenance Officers (AMOs) and Aviation Supply Officers (AVNSUPOs). A data set was constructed for the 102 in-zone AMOs and AVNSUPOs competing for promotion, consisting of demographic and Fitness Report (FITREP) data for each officer covering Fiscal Years 2004-2012. Utilizing logistic regression, the findings concluded that serving as a MALS Executive Officer (XO), receiving a Meritorious Service Medal, and scoring above the Reviewing Officers' (RO) average scores improve one's probability for selection. Serving in combat was not a significant factor for promotion. Because information on command selection was not available from Marine Corps Officer Assignments Plans and Programs, it was not possible to model for command selection. Instead, the following descriptive statistics provide insight on the type of officer selected to command. Forty percent have served as Operations Officers. Forty-three percent served as XOs. Fifty-one percent of the officers scored above their ROs' average markings. Only 37% have at least one combat FITREP as a major.
Type
Description
Series/Report No
Department
Operations Research
Organization
Identifiers
NPS Report Number
Sponsors
Funder
Format
xxii, 125 p. : ill. ; 28 cm.
Citation
Distribution Statement
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.
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