Brazil for sale? does Sino-Brazilian trade or investment significantly influence Brazil's United Nations General Assembly (UNGA) voting pattern?
Bailey, Kathleen S.
McNab, Robert M.
MetadataShow full item record
This thesis examines whether Sino-Brazilian trade or investment significantly influences Brazil's voting in the United Nations General Assembly (UNGA). To examine this relationship, this thesis regresses a dataset of UNGA votes, which the literature commonly uses to represent political influence, with trade and investment data. Understanding whether the growing Sino-Brazilian economic relationship politically impacts Brazil is important both to Brazil and to the United States. Any increase in Chinese influence on Brazil may translate into a corresponding decrease in U.S. influence, which may have implications for the health of Brazil's democracy, regional stability and U.S. national security. This thesis crafts, for the first time in the literature on Sino-Brazilian relations, an estimable empirical model that examines whether trade or investment influences UNGA voting behavior between these two nations; this is an improved methodology for evaluating this relationship as previous studies relied on simple correlations. This thesis makes five hypotheses, and tests them with two types of voting affinity measurements using both regression analysis and simple correlations. This thesis finds that Brazil's exports to China have a statistically significant, positive relationship, and U.S. aid has a statistically significant, negative relationship, to Sino-Brazilian voting affinity.
RightsThis publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.
Showing items related by title, author, creator and subject.
The effects of anti-deforestation programs on Brazil's ecological sustainability goals and the implications for the economic objectives of the strategic partnership with the European Union Prozeske, Kai (Monterey, California: Naval Postgraduate School, 2014-06);This thesis examines the effects of the anti-deforestation programs on Brazil’s economic sustainability goals and the related effects on the objectives for sustainable development of the Strategic Partnership between Brazil ...
Collins, Harold H. (Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 1991-03);This thesis explores the prospects for a U.S./Brazilian naval partnership for the twenty-first century. It examines the viability of existing multilateral agreements between the United States and Latin American countries ...
Ellis, Sandra Nichols. (Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 1988);Technology transfer and acquisition have become hotly debated and controversial policy issues. Examination of U.S. policy toward transfer of naval technology to Brazil raises questions of American national security and the ...