Application of the Nogueira risk assessment model to real-time embedded software projects

Abstract

This Thesis addresses the application of a formal model for risk assessment to real-time embedded software development projects. It specifically targets the use of existing military and defense software development projects as a way to validate, or refine the formal model. In this case the Nogueira model. Data will be gathered from real projects and analyze through use of the Nogueira model. Selected projects were based on specific criteria, listed later in this Thesis. This is, in essence, a "post mortem" of these projects. It gives the ability to compare the model's predictions against what the real data collected from the projects indicated. Results will be reported with our conclusions as to the model's viability for use in determining risk as to probability of completion given the time allowed for the projects. These are data points in the validation of the model and the results, good or bad, cannot be used as a definitive substantiation of the model's fitness for use on other real projects.