Strategic Stability Reconsidered: Prospects for Escalation and Nuclear War in the Middle East; Strategic Insights, v. 8, issue 2 (April 2009)
Russell, James A.
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This paper addresses the prospect that nuclear weapons could be used in the Middle East â€“ breaking the so-called â€œtabooâ€ against the use of these weapons since the United States dropped a nuclear bomb on Nagasaki on August 9, 1945 and which remained unbroken throughout the Cold War and continues to endure. It argues that unstable dynamics of the coercive bargaining framework surrounding Iranâ€™s nuclear program may be pushing the world closer toward the use of nuclear weapons than is generally realized â€“ perhaps closer than any time since the Cuban missile crisis1 â€“ and proposes a number of near- and longer-term scenarios to illustrate the ways in which structural uncertainties in the regional interstate bargaining framework could result in the use of nuclear weapons.
This article appeared in Strategic Insights, v.8, issue 2 (April 2009)Approved for public display, distribution unlimited
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