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A statistical analysis of the deterrence and substitution effects of the military services' drug prevention programs

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Author
Diddams, Richard L.
Date
1999-03
Advisor
Mehay, Stephen L.
Julie Filizetti
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Abstract
This thesis measures the deterrence and substitution effects of the military's drug testing program. Data used is from the 1995 and 1980 versions of the Department of Defense "Survey of Health Related Behaviors Among Military Personnel" and the 1995 and 1979 versions of the "National Household Survey on Drug Abuse." The statistical analyses examine three separate but related topics: (1) The deterrence effect of the military's drug prevention programs; (2) The possible substitution of legal for illegal substances; and (3) The role of selection bias in estimates of the deterrence effect. The results indicate that the military's drug testing program is a deterrence to illicit drug use. The results also provide evidence that the military's drug testing program produces an unanticipated positive effect of reducing heavy alcohol consumption. Lastly, results of our analysis indicate that there is no selection bias; individuals who are likely to choose military service would not be less prone to use illicit drugs than their civilian counterparts in the absence of the testing program.
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http://hdl.handle.net/10945/13597
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    A statistical analysis of the deterrence effects of the Military Services' Drug testing policies 

    Martinez, Antonio. (Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 1998-03);
    This thesis examines themagnitude of the deterrence effect associated with the militaryservices' drug testing policies. Using data from the 1995Department of Defense Survey of Health Related Behaviors Among Military Personnel ...
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