Selection to Naval Special Warfare and the retention of Naval Special Warfare Officers commissioned from the United States Naval Academy

Abstract

This research analyzes United States Naval Academy's admissions and midshipman performance variables and their impact on the career development of graduates in the Special Warfare (SEAL) community. Non-linear LOGIT regression models for the United States Naval Academy Classes of 1994 through 1997 are developed to analyze the influence of factors on the probability of a midshipman selecting to Naval Special Warfare. Additional non-linear LOGIT regression models for the United States Naval Academy Classes 1971 through 1990 are developed to analyze the influence of factors on the probability of a midshipman retaining in Special Warfare to the Lieutenant Commander selection board. Both the class order of merit and the adjusted SEAL physical readiness test play a significant role in the probability of selection. The SAT Math high score has a significant positive effect on selection. The study of a technical major while at the Naval Academy has a significant positive effect on retention. Other significant predictors of retention are identified. Modification of current trends in selection of midshipmen for Special Warfare are recommended to reflect the traits apparent in those who retain.