Comparison of a deterministic and a stochastic models for the probability of winning in a two-sided combat situation
Lee, Woo Young
Taylor, James G.
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Combat attrition can be modelled as either a deterministic or a stochastic process. In this thesis the forecasts of combat outcomes generated by deterministic and stochastic Lanchaster-type models for combat between two homogeneous forces are compared. Using stochastic formulations, the probability of winning is studied and contrasted with a deterministic win criterion for some idealized combat situations. Force ratios required to assure victory in an attack are studied from this standpoint.
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