Prediction of instantaneous currents in San Diego Bay for naval applications

Abstract

Naval operations are highly dependent upon environmental conditions that can either adversely affect successful completion or hinder the safety of personnel. Each warfare community has defined environmental thresholds and operating limits that restrict the execution of any intended maneuver. As the warfare environment continues to shift from open ocean to the littoral, environmental prediction and modeling efforts of the shallow water surroundings need to be developed in order to support these operations. A hydrodynamic model, Water Quality Management and Analysis Package (WQMAP), has been developed by Applied Sciences Associates, Inc. that is designed specifically to provide accurate littoral environmental prediction. WQMAP is one of several hydrodynamic models used operationally by the Naval Oceanographic Office (NAVOCEANO) to predict currents and water elevations in littoral regions. Implementations of shallow water hydrodynamic models in foreign waters are usually data-starved for model forcing and validation. In a series of studies, NAVOCEANO intends to model various bays within the continental United States, where sufficient data exists, to study the sensitivity of lack of data on model results. This study will utilize WQMAP to design a hydrodynamic model in San Diego Bay to predict currents in order to investigate the impact of grid resolution on model results, and to provide proper current predictions for Fleet training and operations.