An insurgency growth model
insurgencygrowth00comb.pdf (4.029Mb)Abstract
A generalized conception of an insurgency situation is examined with a systems approach. The model is divided into two sectors, propaganda and military. The emphasis in the propaganda sector is on ail actions taken by the insurgent and government sides which have a psychological impact on the population. In the military sector variables associated with combat and troop replacement are examined. A computer simulation, written in DYNAMO 11, is provided and several simulation runs are examined. Suggestions for further research are also included.
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