Updating the Navy's recruit quality matrix an analysis of educational credentials and the success of first-term sailors

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Author
Bownds, Christopher D.
Date
2004-03Advisor
Mehay, Stephen L.
Eitelberg, Mark J.
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Show full item recordAbstract
This thesis analyzes the impact of different
educational credentials on first-term attrition by enlisted
sailors in the U.S. Navy. For enlistment screening, the
Navy currently categorizes applicants in one of three tiers
according to educational attainment. These tiers form the
basis of the Recruit Quality Matrix, which employs Armed
Forces Qualification Test scores and educational
credentials to determine enlistment eligibility. The
analysis draws primarily from two sources: a Defense
Manpower Data Center file containing enlisted cohorts from
fiscal years 1989 through 1997 (to assess first-term
attrition), and a Commander, Navy Recruiting Command data
base containing enlisted cohorts from fiscal years 1998
through 2003 (to examine bootcamp attrition). Logit
regression models are constructed using these data to
identify differences in attrition propensities within the
general tiers. A refined matrix is designed and evaluated
as a more accurate predictor of attrition. Further research
is recommended to look at additional measures of success in
service, such as performance, productivity, and promotion.
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