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dc.contributor.advisorJarrell, J.D.
dc.contributor.advisorRenard, R.J.
dc.contributor.authorMauck, Charles Joel III
dc.dateSeptember 1974
dc.date.accessioned2012-11-13T23:59:08Z
dc.date.available2012-11-13T23:59:08Z
dc.date.issued1974-09
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10945/17029
dc.description.abstractThe NEPHAT (Northeastern Pacific Hurricane Analog Tracker) Forecast Program is developed and introduced. NEPHAT selects analog tropical cyclones from 25-year Northeastern Pacific Ocean history. Each selected analog track is statistically adjusted for known differences between it and the recent history of the tropical cyclone being forecasted. The adjusted analog cyclone trajectories are then composited into a single forecast track. Verification results are shown for randomly selected historical cases, with a Monte Carlo simulation of initial operational position inaccuracies. Intercomparisons of forecasts made by NEPHAT and other objective and subjective forecast schemes are presented.
dc.description.urihttp://archive.org/details/forecastingnorth1094517029
dc.language.isoen_US
dc.publisherMonterey, California. Naval Postgraduate Schoolen_US
dc.rightsThis publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.
dc.subject.lcshMeteorologyen_US
dc.titleForecasting Northeastern Pacific tropical cyclone tracks using an analog scheme.en_US
dc.typeThesisen_US
dc.contributor.corporateNaval Postgraduate School (U.S.)
dc.contributor.departmentMeteorology
dc.subject.authortropical cyclones
dc.subject.authorhurricanes
dc.subject.authorEastern Pacific Ocean
dc.subject.authorforecast
dc.subject.authoranalog
dc.subject.authortrack
dc.description.serviceLieutenant, United States Navy
etd.thesisdegree.nameM.S. in Meteorologyen_US
etd.thesisdegree.levelMastersen_US
etd.thesisdegree.disciplineMeteorologyen_US
etd.thesisdegree.grantorNaval Postgraduate Schoolen_US
dc.description.distributionstatementApproved for public release; distribution is unlimited.


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