Analysis of the variable behavior manifested in all Navy/Marine major aircraft accident rates

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Author
Maxwell, John Scott
Stucki, Laurence Valdimir
Date
1975-09Advisor
Poock, Gary K.
Second Reader
Thomas, Marlin U.
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Show full item recordAbstract
All Navy/Marine monthly aircraft accident rates exhibit
a behavior of marked variability which cannot be attributed
solely to weather or other natural phenomena. Variable measures
construed as time dependent were obtained for all major
accidents between July 1968 and June 1974. Stepwise linear
multiple regression studies relating the variables to accident
rate showed pilot age, daylight pilot flight hours for
the 90 days preceding the accident, the number of night carrier
landings in the previous 30 days, and the number of daylight
carrier landings in the previous 30 days explained
46.65% of noted accident rate variance. The results corroborate
previously held theories that pilot error is the single
largest causal factor in aircraft accidents.
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