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dc.contributor.advisorMusgrave, Gerald L.
dc.contributor.authorKaler, Herbert Charles
dc.dateMarch 1975
dc.date.accessioned2012-11-20T00:27:02Z
dc.date.available2012-11-20T00:27:02Z
dc.date.issued1975-03
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10945/21084
dc.descriptionApproved for public release; distribution is unlimited
dc.description.abstractThe communication industry is clearly in a state of transition and communication managers faced with decisions about commitments to today's products need to know about possible future changes in the industry. To fulfill this need, this study develops technological forecasts for hard copy and video display communications terminals. Changes in input/output parameters of the terminals, when the changes will occur, and how rapid the changes will be are estimated. These forecasts are determined by first measuring a limited number of performance parameters such as print rate and transmission speed. Then mathematical models are fitted to the performance parameter data and the trend extrapolated into the future to make predictions. The results of the study indicate that print rates will increase significantly in the next ten years to a level of approximately 2000 characters per second and transmission speeds to' a level of approximately 500,000 bits per second for hard copy terminals. Video display terminals show a steeper increase with transmission speed levels of 1.5 Mbps predicted in the next five years. Also, the print rate per dollar and transmission speed per dollar for these terminals will show rapid increases in the next ten years. This study indicates that hard copy terminals and video display terminals are on the verge of significant changes that communications managers should take into consideration in their procurement and design decisions.
dc.description.urihttp://archive.org/details/technologicalfor00kale
dc.language.isoen_US
dc.publisherMonterey, California. Naval Postgraduate Schoolen_US
dc.rightsThis publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.
dc.subject.lcshManagementen_US
dc.titleTechnological forecasts for hard copy and video display communication terminals.en_US
dc.typeThesisen_US
dc.contributor.secondreaderCreighton, John W.
dc.contributor.corporateNaval Postgraduate School (U.S.)
dc.contributor.departmentOperations Research and Administrative Sciences
dc.description.serviceLieutenant, United States Navy
etd.thesisdegree.nameM.S. in Managementen_US
etd.thesisdegree.levelMastersen_US
etd.thesisdegree.disciplineManagementen_US
etd.thesisdegree.grantorNaval Postgraduate Schoolen_US


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