An examination of the influence of environmental factors on recruiting Category I-IIIA males.

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Author
Lewis, James M.
Date
1987-09Advisor
Boger, Dan C.
Second Reader
Muircheartaigh, Logan O.
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Show full item recordAbstract
This thesis studies the influence of environmental factors on recruiting Category
I-IIIA males for the United States Army. Econometric modeling using regression
analysis is used to estimate the determinants of the supply of recruits. Four models are
developed from the cross-sectional time-series data and comparisons of the elasticities
of the independent variables are given. The four models are Ordinary Least Squares,
Instrumental Variable Estimation, Instrumental Variable Estimation with AR(1), and
Fixed Effects. Following a discussion on how the data was collected over a four year
period on a monthly basis for each of the Army's fifty-five recruiting battalions (except
Puerto Rico), each model is specified and the possible violations of the basic
assumptions of linear regression discussed. Results of each model are presented and
interpreted in terms of resource allocation and policy implementation. Finally, fixed
effects regional models for each recruiting brigade are run and geographical variation
examined.
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This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.Collections
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