The economic impact of military installations on regional economies

Download
Author
Coyle, Lewis J.
Date
1992-09Advisor
Thomas, George W.
Second Reader
Kocher, Kathryn M.
Metadata
Show full item recordAbstract
This thesis determined that a model could be developed to forecast the impact of the closure or restructure of a military installation on a regional economy. The closure of a military base can have a significant effect on a community, and the impacts are required by the National Environmental Protection Act to be estimated before legislative action can be passed. The research examined the theories of economic impact and multiplier effects. The principles of shift share analysis were further investigated and applied to the industries of the national and Monterey County economies. An average employment multiplier was derived and used in the development of an alternative economic impact forecast model. The research also applied other commercially available economic impact forecast models to the data associated with the base closure at Fort Ord, California, and the forcasts agreed that the county economy would suffer considerably in the short term. The selected model was then applied to two redevelopment options and the results predicted that the county economy would improve greatly in the long term after the initial slump.
Rights
Copyright is reserved by the copyright ownerCollections
Related items
Showing items related by title, author, creator and subject.
-
A model in defense reutilization: Presidio of Monterey and Fort Ord
Campbell, Scott A. (Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 1995-12);The Base Realignment and Closure (BRAC) process has impacted people and cities throughout United States. Many municipalities are directly affected by base closures that occur within their borders. Of major concern to those ... -
Political economy of military base closure
Suttie, Richard D.; Ohanian, Arthur J. (Monterey, California: Naval Postgraduate School, 1990-12);This study investigates the political economy of military base closure: the federal and local public policy process and how it impacts the economic efficiency of public resource allocation. It describes and analyzes the ... -
Base Realignment and Closure: Guiding Principles for Peru
McNab, Robert (Repec.org, 2004);In this paper, we examine the prospects for base realignment and closure in Peru and develop an initial strategy for the realignment and closure process. While previous research has focused primarily on the realignment and ...