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dc.contributor.advisorThomas, George W.
dc.contributor.authorCoyle, Lewis J.
dc.dateSeptember 1992
dc.date.accessioned2012-11-29T16:14:20Z
dc.date.available2012-11-29T16:14:20Z
dc.date.issued1992-09
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10945/23647
dc.descriptionApproved for public release; distribution is unlimiteden_US
dc.description.abstractThis thesis determined that a model could be developed to forecast the impact of the closure or restructure of a military installation on a regional economy. The closure of a military base can have a significant effect on a community, and the impacts are required by the National Environmental Protection Act to be estimated before legislative action can be passed. The research examined the theories of economic impact and multiplier effects. The principles of shift share analysis were further investigated and applied to the industries of the national and Monterey County economies. An average employment multiplier was derived and used in the development of an alternative economic impact forecast model. The research also applied other commercially available economic impact forecast models to the data associated with the base closure at Fort Ord, California, and the forcasts agreed that the county economy would suffer considerably in the short term. The selected model was then applied to two redevelopment options and the results predicted that the county economy would improve greatly in the long term after the initial slump.en_US
dc.description.urihttp://archive.org/details/economicimpactof00coyl
dc.format.extent67 p.en_US
dc.language.isoen_US
dc.publisherMonterey, California. Naval Postgraduate Schoolen_US
dc.rightsCopyright is reserved by the copyright owneren_US
dc.titleThe economic impact of military installations on regional economiesen_US
dc.typeThesisen_US
dc.contributor.secondreaderKocher, Kathryn M.
dc.contributor.corporateNaval Postgraduate School (U.S.)
dc.contributor.departmentDepartment of Administrative Sciences
dc.subject.authorBase closureen_US
dc.subject.authorShift share analysisen_US
dc.subject.authorEconomic impacten_US
dc.subject.authorRegional economyen_US
dc.subject.authorMilitary installationen_US
dc.description.serviceMajor, Australian Armyen_US
etd.thesisdegree.nameM.S. in Manpower Managementen_US
etd.thesisdegree.levelMastersen_US
etd.thesisdegree.disciplineManpower Managementen_US
etd.thesisdegree.grantorNaval Postgraduate Schoolen_US


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