Effect of variables independent of performance on promotion rates to major, lieutenant colonel, and colonel in the Marines Corps.
Long, Peter F.
Read, Robert R.
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The models developed in this analysis provide a tool for Marine officers who need a quick, reliable promotion predictor to assist in career assignments or choices. These models use several easily obtained factors to forecast selection rates for promotion to Major, Lt.Colonel and Colonel. Specifically, factors which can be used to predict selection rates to all the aforementioned paygrades are MARITAL STATUS. ATTENDANCE AT AN APPROPRIATE LEVEL PROFESSIONAL SCHOOL and ATTAINMENT OF A POSTGRADUATE DEGREE. Duty assignment, commissioning source, and personal awards are significant factors, also, but not universally. Significant by their lack of influence on selection rates are RACE. SEX, and COMBAT EXPERIENCE. Other factors also studied but not mentioned in the abstract are discussed in the body of this analysis.
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