Predicting success at Marine Security Guard (MSG) school utilizing the Headquarters Master File (HMF).
Snyder, Michael James
Crawford, Alice M.
Roberts, Benjamin J.
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The objective of this study is to utilize background characteristics to determine predictors of success from Marine Security School. The data used consist of files on fifteen MSG classes of sergeants (E5s), corporals (E4s), and lance corporals (E3s) who reported to MSG Battalion for school. These classes cover the period from December 1989 to September 1991. The data file included close to 20 background characteristics that were evaluated in this study. The logistic procedure was selected to analyze this data set since it gives a more precise picture of results than simple regression when using multiple independent variables. Six variables were found to be statistically significant below the ten percent level in predicting success of Marines at MSG school. These are the physical fitness score, rifle score, GT score, current age, current grade, race, and time in grade. Using the logit model, example cases are presented to show the user how each Marine's individual characteristics affect the probability of success or failure from MSG school.
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