Naval Postgraduate School
Ukraine: independent nuclear weapons capability rising
ukraineindepende00dewi.pdf (6.277Mb)Abstract
This thesis argues that Ukraine will move from possession
of CIS-controlled nuclear weapons to the development of an
independent nuclear capability. It attempts to show how the
factors driving Ukraine towards remaining a nuclear state
outweigh the factors acting in restraint. This thesis
describes the contents of the Ukrainian arsenal, reviews its
current material condition and investigates the likelihood
that Ukraine can directly control it. This thesis also shows
why Ukraine's most likely course of action in developing an
independent nuclear weapons capability will be to retain its
46 SS-24 ICBMs.
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