Base closure and health coverage: the case of Silas B. Hays Army Community Hospital and Fort Ord
McCarden, Yolanda E.
Jones, Larry R.
Harshman, Richard A.
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This research focuses on the 1989, 1990 and 1991 utilization statistics of Silas B. Hays Army Community Hospital. These statistics are evaluated including and excluding the active duty Army and their dependents. These personnel are the principal users of the facility and are expected to be transferred/relocated to Fort Lewis when Fort Ord closes. This thesis forecasts utilization for 1992 and growth rate statistics for the remaining personnel at Fort Ord and in the Monterey Peninsula area. This analysis determines whether local area hospitals can support the expected medical requirements of the remaining personnel. A regular trend forecasting analysis was used to predict upcoming year statistics. The data are broken down by armed forces to determine primary usage by individual service (Army, Navy, Air Force, Marine Corps, and Coast Guard ). Conclusions on adequacy of hospital coverage for users are based on Silas B. Hays Army Community Hospital historical inpatient and outpatient clinical patronage. No financial data were considered in this research. Based on the data and analysis the research supports closing Silas B. Hays Army Community Hospital as other area hospitals have sufficient capacity to accommodate residual Fort Ord and Monterey Peninsula patients. It was noted in the research that several other areas should be considered before a final decision is made.
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