Predicting performance: analysis of background factors and probability of promotion in the surface warfare and submarine officer communities

Download
Author
Saw, Woo Young
Date
1993-09Advisor
Hildebrandt, Gregory G.
Mitchell, Carol
Metadata
Show full item recordAbstract
This thesis estimates the determinants of promotion probability to Lieutenant Commander over the period 1985-1990 for Surface Warfare Officers (SWOs) and Submarine Officers (SOs). Using data from the Naval Officer Promotion History Data Files, the analysis first examines the frequency distribution of the explanatory variables, then employs a log it regression analysis. The probabilities of-promotion are modeled as a function of background factors, which include personal demographics, undergraduate education, and Navy experience. The findings reveal that having a high GPA, a graduate education, more than 3 additional qualification designators (AQDs), and having been screened for command each have a positive effect on promotion for SWOs and are statistically significant. By contrast, being an ROTC graduate, being older, and having a low GPA each have a negative effect on probability of promotion and are statistically significant in the SWO model. In the SO model, having a high GPA, a graduate education, more than 3 AQDs, and a technical undergraduate major are positively significant. Based on the results, it is recommended that the Republic of Korea focus its recruiting efforts on highly qualified officer candidates if it can be demonstrated that the results of this analysis apply to Korea
Collections
Related items
Showing items related by title, author, creator and subject.
-
ANALYSIS OF PROMOTION OUTCOMES FOR NAVY NURSE CORPS OFFICERS
Keme, Desmond (Monterey, CA; Naval Postgraduate School, 2019-06);Using individual-level data on active duty naval officers in fiscal years 2010 to 2018, I estimate predictive models for nurse corps officers’ promotions to the ranks of lieutenant commander, commander, and captain. Among ... -
The impact of athletic achievement at the United States Naval Academy on fleet performance
Leskovich, John R. (Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 2000-06);The mission of the United States Naval Academy speaks clearly of three pillars of midshipman development: moral, mental, and physical. Each is equally important; however, the mission of the Naval Academy to develop midshipmen ... -
ASSESSING THE IMPACT OF RECOGNITION ON THE RETENTION OF ROYAL AUSTRALIAN AIR FORCE PERSONNEL
Tyson, Daniel (Monterey, CA; Naval Postgraduate School, 2022-03);With the introduction of technologically complex aircraft such as the F-35 in the Royal Australian Air Force (RAAF), it is increasingly important to retain RAAF members in the aviation technical workforce to capitalize on ...