Analysis of a Lance missile platoon using a semi-Markov chain

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Author
Argo, Harry M.
Date
1989-09Advisor
Parry, Samuel H.
Second Reader
Jacobs, Patricia A.
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This thesis develops a combat effectiveness model for the Lance missile system. The
survivability and ability to accomplish the mission for a Lance missile launch platoon
depends upon enemy capabilities, platoon configuration, missile reliability and many
other tangible factors. The changing status of a launch platoon is modeled using a
semi-Markov chain with transient and absorbing states. Expected number of missiles
fired prior to absorption and expected time to absorption are the measures of effectiveness
used to analyze the effect of scenario input. Sensitivity analyses are conducted on
the parameters of platoon configuration, missile reliability and fire point usage.
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