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dc.contributor.advisorBoger, Dan C.
dc.contributor.authorHatton, Mary T.
dc.date.accessioned2013-02-15T23:30:47Z
dc.date.available2013-02-15T23:30:47Z
dc.date.issued1994-09
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10945/28082
dc.description.abstractThis thesis examines, using the framework of a cost-loss ratio, the dilemma of the Navy decision maker faced with the question of whether or not to sortie ocean-going ships from a port threatened by a hurricane. The long leadtime needed to execute a full sortie requires the decision maker to rely on hurricane forecasts that may contain large errors, despite improvements in forecasting over the past two decades. Furthermore, decision makers may have difficulty interpreting forecasts without the use of a decision aid. Analysis includes interviews with several tropical cyclone experts, a literature review of the economics of hurricanes, and a critique of a number of hurricane decision aids. Based upon this research, this thesis concludes that the CHARM model for setting hurricane readiness conditions is currently the best decision aid available for reducing the number of unnecessary sorties without putting the fleet at significantly increased risken_US
dc.description.urihttp://archive.org/details/costlossratiomod00hatt
dc.format.extent120 p.;28 cm.en_US
dc.language.isoen_US
dc.publisherMonterey, California. Naval Postgraduate Schoolen_US
dc.subject.lcshOperations Researchen_US
dc.titleA cost-loss ratio model for hurricane sortie decisionsen_US
dc.typeThesisen_US
dc.contributor.corporateNA
dc.contributor.schoolNA
dc.contributor.departmentOperations Research
dc.description.funderNAen_US
dc.description.recognitionNAen_US
dc.description.serviceU.S. Navy (U.S.N.) author.en_US
dc.identifier.oclcocn640618577
etd.thesisdegree.nameM.S. in Operations Researchen_US
etd.thesisdegree.levelMastersen_US
etd.thesisdegree.disciplineOperations Researchen_US
etd.thesisdegree.grantorNaval Postgraduate Schoolen_US


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