Modeling F/A-18 flight hour program costs using regression analysis
Arkley, Larry E.
Boger, Dan C.
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This thesis is an in depth analysis of cost variance in Naval Air Reserve units flying the McDonnell Douglas F/A-18. The purpose of the thesis is to identify, analyze and quantify the effect of variances in the cost per flight hour of the Naval Air Reserve's Flying Hour Program. The study begins with a review of the Planning, Programming, and Budgeting System which is used to justify and fund the Flying Hour Program. Then three different methods of determining Flying Hour Program requirements are described. The four components of cost per hour within the Flying Hour Program (Fuel, Organizational Maintenance Activity, Intermediate Maintenance Activity and Aviation Depot Level Repairables) are defined. Finally, using regression analysis techniques, these four components of F/A-18 cost data are analyzed on the basis of the intensity of aircraft utilization: flight hours. The analysis includes a regression model to provide budgeters at the headquarter or squadron level the means for predicting aircraft maintenance and fuel costs given a utilization rate. The thesis concludes with areas recommended for further research
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