UAV swarm attack: protection system alternatives for Destroyers

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Authors
Pham, Loc V
Dickerson, Brandon
Sanders, James
Casserly, Michael
Maldonado, Vicente
Balbuena, Demostenes
Graves, Stephen
Pandya, Bhavisha
Subjects
Advisors
Shebalin, Paul V.
Young, Bonnie
Date of Issue
2012-12
Date
Dec-12
Publisher
Monterey, California : Naval Postgraduate School
Language
en_US
Abstract
The Navy needs to protect Destroyers (DDGs) from Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) attacks. The team, focusing on improving the DDG’s defenses against small radar cross section UAVs making suicide attacks, established a DRM, identified current capability gaps, established a functional flow, created requirements, modeled the DDG’s current sensing and engagement capabilities in Microsoft Excel, and used Monte Carlo analysis of 500 simulation runs to determine that four out of eight incoming IED UAVs are likely to hit the ship. Sensitivity analysis showed that improving weapon systems is more effec-tive than improving sensor systems, inspiring the generation of alternatives for improving UAV defense. For the eight feasible alternatives the team estimated cost, assessed risk in accordance with the requirements, simulated performance against the eight incoming UAVs, and performed cost benefit analysis. Adding CIWS mounts is the most cost effec-tive alternative, reducing the average number of UAV hits from a baseline of 3.82 to 2.50, costing $816M to equip the 62-DDG fleet for a 12-year life cycle. Combining that with upgraded EW capabilities to jam remote-controlled UAVs reduces the hits to 1.56 for $1844M, and combining those with decoy launchers to defeat the radar-seeking Har-py UAVs reduces the hits to 1.12 for $2862M.
Type
Thesis
Description
Systems Engineering Project Report
Department
Systems Engineering (SE)
Organization
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NPS Report Number
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Distribution Statement
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
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