The establishment of a new method of estimating the number of advancements in the Navy enlisted force

Abstract

A model developed recently uses regression and analytic techniques to estimate the length of service (LOS) distribution of advancements in the Navy Enlisted Force by pay grade and rating. The distribution is a function of the total volume of advancees to a pay grade of the rating as well as the LOS distribution of the net inventory of the next lower pay grade of the same rating. The model previously tested for three ratings only is now extended to all ratings of the Navy Enlisted Force. The new procedure is then compared and found to be superior to the currently used method of distributing advancees among LOS cells. This conclusion is based on the accuracy of the FY 1976 estimates. (Author)