FORECASTER, a Markovian model to analyze the distribution of Naval Officers
forecastermarkov00milc.pdf (1.338Mb)Abstract
A mathematical model is described for forecasting the distribution of officers in a Navy officer community at some future point in time. The distribution is in terms of activity types and four numbers. The activity types stand for a categorization of the kind of billets Navy officers may occupy on successive tours of duty, such as sea and shore billets. The specific method of categorization is dictated by the community modeled and the purpose of the analysis. The emphasis here is on the mathematical derivation, although a numerical application is also included. Keywords: Personnel model, Officer distribution, Careers. (sdw)
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This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.NPS Report Number
NPS-55-90-07Related items
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