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dc.contributor.authorGaver, Donald Paul
dc.contributor.authorJacobs, Patricia A.
dc.date1993-12
dc.date.accessioned2013-03-07T21:52:07Z
dc.date.available2013-03-07T21:52:07Z
dc.date.issued1993-12
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10945/29763
dc.descriptionApproved for public release; distribution is unlimited.en_US
dc.description.abstractNumerical meteorological models are used to assist in the prediction of weather. Each run of a numerical model produces forecasts of meteorological variables which are used as preliminary predictions of the future values of these variables. These initial predictions are referred to as first-guess values. Estimation of the mean-square first-guess error is required in the optimal interpolation process in the numerical prediction of atmospheric variables. Several predictors for the mean-square error of the first-guess wind speeds are studied. The results suggest that prediction using observed covariates tend to be better than those using first-guess covariates. However, observed covariates are not always available. Predictions using first-guess covariates are better at the 250 mb level than the 850 or 500 mb levels. Of those first-guess covariates studied, first-guess wind speed appears to be the best.en_US
dc.description.sponsorshipNaval Research Laboratory-Westen_US
dc.description.urihttp://archive.org/details/comparisonofpred00gave
dc.language.isoen_US
dc.publisherMonterey, California. Naval Postgraduate Schoolen_US
dc.rightsThis publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. As such, it is in the public domain, and under the provisions of Title 17, United States Code, Section 105, may not be copyrighted.en_US
dc.subject.lcshMATHEMATICAL PREDICTIONen_US
dc.titleA Comparison of Predictors for First-Guess Wind Speed Errorsen_US
dc.typeReporten_US
dc.contributor.corporateNaval Postgraduate School (U.S.)
dc.contributor.departmentOperations Research
dc.subject.authorGaussian Model With Log-Linear Scale Parameteren_US
dc.subject.authorNonparametric Modelsen_US
dc.subject.authorPrediction Of Mean Square Errorsen_US
dc.subject.authorFirst-Guess Errors In Meteorological Modelsen_US
dc.subject.authorGeneralized Linear Regressionen_US
dc.description.funderRH2G5en_US
dc.identifier.npsreportNPS-OR-93-020


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