A prison/parole system simulation model
Abstract
The continued high incidence of crime is recognized as being a serious national problem. Much controversy surrounds the estimated effects of policy changes within the Criminal Justice System. The paper presents a methodology for analyzing the effects of possible policy changes in a state's prison/parole system on future prison and parole populations. A simulation model is presented, viewing a prison/parole system as a feedback process for ciminal offenders. Transitions among the states in which an offender might be located, imprisoned, paroled, and discharged, are assumed to be in accordance with a discrete time semi-Markov process. Projected prison and parole populations for sample data and applications of the model are discussed. (Author)
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.NPS Report Number
NPS55ZG73031ARelated items
Showing items related by title, author, creator and subject.
-
SEMINARIES IN THE SYSTEM: THE EFFECTS OF PRISON SEMINARIES ON RECIDIVISM, INMATE VIOLENCE, AND COSTS
Dotson, Roy D. (Monterey, CA; Naval Postgraduate School, 2019-12);Rehabilitation is one of the main goals of the correctional system, with numerous and varied programs being implemented for centuries. The United States spends millions on rehabilitation programs, yet recidivism rates, ... -
THEORIES OF RADICALIZATION: FRENCH ALGERIAN MUSLIMS AND INCARCERATION
Robertson, Cassidy (Monterey, CA; Naval Postgraduate School, 2022-06);This thesis is a comparative case study of two French Algerians who were radicalized in the French prison system. Social Movement Theory, Social Identity Theory, and Relative Deprivation Theory are applied to their individual ... -
Prison radicalization in county jails: disrupting terrorist acts through information sharing
Lee, Douglas R. (Monterey, California: Naval Postgraduate School, 2014-12);Prisons have long been recognized as an environment ripe for radicalization. In some cases, individuals radicalized while in prison have later committed acts of terrorism. While many countries employ deradicalization ...