Studies on damage aggregation for weapons salvos

Abstract

This document records three working studies from an ongoing investigation of models and methods for the prediction of the cumulative effect of weapons salvos. The first paper is about an extant formula for estimating the expected proportion of damage to an area target, which proves to be optimistic when compared to a plausible model for the effect of the salvo. The second paper describes an alternate formula which is conservative when compared to the same model. The third paper describes a basic case of an emerging family of target configuration and weapons impact scenarios which lead to the plausible model