Naval Postgraduate School
Dudley Knox Library
NPS Dudley Knox Library
View Item 
  •   Calhoun Home
  • Faculty and Researchers
  • Faculty and Researchers' Publications
  • View Item
  •   Calhoun Home
  • Faculty and Researchers
  • Faculty and Researchers' Publications
  • View Item
  • How to search in Calhoun
  • My Accounts
  • Ask a Librarian
JavaScript is disabled for your browser. Some features of this site may not work without it.

Browse

All of CalhounCollectionsThis Collection

My Account

LoginRegister

Statistics

Most Popular ItemsStatistics by CountryMost Popular Authors

Recognizing Patterns of Anomie that Set the Conditions for Insurgency

Thumbnail
Download
Icon10S-SIW-005.pdf (165.1Kb)
Icon10S-SIW-005-Presentation.pdf (2.020Mb)
Download Record
Download to EndNote/RefMan (RIS)
Download to BibTex
Author
Blais, Curtis
Guttieri, Karen
Jackson, Leroy A.
Shearer, Rob
Eggenberger-Argote, Niklaus
Fischer, Michele
Pearman, Jerry
Date
2010-04-13
Metadata
Show full item record
Abstract
New challenges to analysis, modeling and simulation have arisen in recent years as decision-makers and policy makers seek a better understanding of human social culture behavior. The Office of Naval Research has tasked a team of researchers to investigate the specific question of the relationship between the well-established theory of anomie and the emergence of insurgency. This project proposes to identify patterns of anomie that set the conditions for insurgency, categorize the events that trigger the start of an insurgency, and simulate the path of a nation state from peace into political violence using wargaming and modeling. Anomie — the loss of compelling norms that enable populations to meaningfully interpret social change — threatens nation states with instabilityinduced conflict. Nation-states that experience anomie-induced conflict are similar in that they share common factors that make them susceptible to insurgency. We will utilize pattern classification algorithms to identify associations of conditions to outbreaks of insurgency. The presence of anomie alone does not lead to insurgency, but helps establish conditions upon which pivotal events trigger the political violence. Micro-level analysis will complement macrostructural concept and data analysis. The research will develop case studies for nation-states that have suffered insurgency to understand the types of triggers that were involved. Understanding the roots of anomie that set the conditions for insurgency and the triggers that initiate the violence will enable creation of wargames and models to examine the onset of an insurgency and develop mitigation strategies. These allow vicarious learning for decision makers to experience the onset of an insurgency before the first shot is fired, providing time and understanding to potentially prevent or mitigate the outbreak of the violence in real-world regions of interest. The project’s multi-level approach offers a needed methodological step forward, and its outputs include new empirical grist for fellow scholars and field practitioners. This paper provides an overview of the project and proposed methodology, as well as progress to date and planned go-forward efforts. Moreover, the paper will serve as a representative example of exploration into social theories, real-world data collection, and various modeling approaches to stimulate SISO community consideration of the need for model and data standards in the area of human social culture behavior (HSCB) modeling.
Description
Documents include Paper and Presentation.
 
 
Simulation Interoperability Standards Organization (SISO) SIW Conference Paper
 
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.
URI
http://hdl.handle.net/10945/30781
Collections
  • Faculty and Researchers' Publications

Related items

Showing items related by title, author, creator and subject.

  • Thumbnail

    Modeling and Simulation Tool to Enhance and Explore the ROE Design Space for NLW 

    Hall, Steven B. (Monterey, California: Naval Postgraduate SchoolMonterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 2019-12); NPS-19-M238-A
    The goal of this research is to define an analytical tool, Workbench for refining Rules of Engagement against Crowd Hostiles (WRENCH), that will support operational planners and ground commanders in defining contextually ...
  • Thumbnail

    Modeling and Simulation Tool to Enhance and Explore the ROE Design Space for NLW 

    Hall, Steven B. (Monterey, California: Naval Postgraduate SchoolMonterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 2019-12); NPS-19-M238-A
    The goal of this research is to define an analytical tool, Workbench for refining Rules of Engagement against Crowd Hostiles (WRENCH), that will support operational planners and ground commanders in defining contextually ...
  • Thumbnail

    Information operations, an evolutionary step for the Mexican Armed Forces 

    Schulz, David Vargas (Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 2007-12);
    This thesis will focus on the Mexican Armed Force's ability to deal with existing and future unconventional threats and insurgencies. The modern Mexican Armed Forces are the result of an enduring evolutionary process, ...
NPS Dudley Knox LibraryDUDLEY KNOX LIBRARY
Feedback

411 Dyer Rd. Bldg. 339
Monterey, CA 93943
circdesk@nps.edu
(831) 656-2947
DSN 756-2947

    Federal Depository Library      


Start Your Research

Research Guides
Academic Writing
Ask a Librarian
Copyright at NPS
Graduate Writing Center
How to Cite
Library Liaisons
Research Tools
Thesis Processing Office

Find & Download

Databases List
Articles, Books & More
NPS Theses
NPS Faculty Publications: Calhoun
Journal Titles
Course Reserves

Use the Library

My Accounts
Request Article or Book
Borrow, Renew, Return
Tech Help
Remote Access
Workshops & Tours

For Faculty & Researchers
For International Students
For Alumni

Print, Copy, Scan, Fax
Rooms & Study Spaces
Floor Map
Computers & Software
Adapters, Lockers & More

Collections

NPS Archive: Calhoun
Restricted Resources
Special Collections & Archives
Federal Depository
Homeland Security Digital Library

About

Hours
Library Staff
About Us
Special Exhibits
Policies
Our Affiliates
Visit Us

NPS-Licensed Resources—Terms & Conditions
Copyright Notice

Naval Postgraduate School

Naval Postgraduate School
1 University Circle, Monterey, CA 93943
Driving Directions | Campus Map

This is an official U.S. Navy Website |  Please read our Privacy Policy Notice  |  FOIA |  Section 508 |  No FEAR Act |  Whistleblower Protection |  Copyright and Accessibility |  Contact Webmaster

Export search results

The export option will allow you to export the current search results of the entered query to a file. Different formats are available for download. To export the items, click on the button corresponding with the preferred download format.

A logged-in user can export up to 15000 items. If you're not logged in, you can export no more than 500 items.

To select a subset of the search results, click "Selective Export" button and make a selection of the items you want to export. The amount of items that can be exported at once is similarly restricted as the full export.

After making a selection, click one of the export format buttons. The amount of items that will be exported is indicated in the bubble next to export format.