A strategic-military analysis of the Ukrainian Armed Forces
Kobasa, Askold I.
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This thesis is a strategic net assessment of the Ukrainian Armed Forces and analyzes its present capability and desire to fight for its newly proclaimed state. It evaluates the military doctrine of Ukraine, the force structure and levels of its military, the various strategic and operational factors affecting the force, and the effects of the 'ethnic security map' created by the former Soviet Union on the present-day Ukrainian military. Finally, it assesses four major components of military capability force structure, modernization, readiness, and sustainability. The findings of this study are that the Ukrainian Armed Forces can sustain short-term combat operations, but not a long war. Nevertheless, the potential is there for the Ukrainian military to develop fighting capability to deter war. Even in its current force posture, Ukraine is a serious regional military power. It can defend its we stem borders and for the near term, provides a credible deterrence against potential external military threat from Russia. Ths capability will improve in time as military reforms progress and the other components of military capability are brought up to projected levels.
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