Publication:
The impact of the force drawdown on the promotion of minority officers in the US military

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Authors
Darrow, Cameron D.
Subjects
Advisors
Eitelberg, Mark J.
Mehay, Stephen L.
Date of Issue
1995-03
Date
March 1995
Publisher
Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School
Language
en_US
Abstract
Department of Defense (DoD) policies have historically supported specific objectives with regard to minorities in all phases of the manpower system, including accession, retention, and promotion. Drawdown policies, however, have been designed primarily to meet endstrength goals, without regard to any potential effects on specific groups. The purpose of this research is to analyze the effects of the drawdown on the promotion of minority officers. The research utilizes data covering all services provided by the Defense Manpower Data Center. Ordinary least squares and logit modeling techniques are employed to estimate the promotion performance of officers prior to, and during, the drawdown. The results show that, across DoD, minority status is no longer a factor in promotion outcomes; and the promotion of minority officers, in general, has not been adversely affected during the drawdown. However, there has been a significant decline in the probability of promotion for blacks and Hispanics in the Navy. Further research is recommended to refine the promotion models and monitor minority group promotion opportunities as the drawdown continues.
Type
Thesis
Description
Series/Report No
Department
Management
Other Units
Identifiers
NPS Report Number
Sponsors
Funder
NA
Format
139 p.
Citation
Distribution Statement
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.
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